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Two basic facts will tell you most of what you need to know about the political picture today.
Fact One: The unemployment rate is the most important of all leading political indicators.
Fact Two: If the August unemployment number to be announced Friday tops 9%—which seems highly likely—the jobless rate will have been above that level for 16 straight months. Already, the U.S. is mired in the longest such stretch of 9%-plus joblessness in more than a quarter of a century.